Solar Irradiance and Photovoltaic Power Forecasting

Solar forecasting is essential for grid integration of solar energy and achieving carbon neutrality. Advances in solar forecasting have dramatically advanced in the past decade, with a focus on irradiance and photovoltaic power forecasting. This book provides a comprehensive view of solar forecasting, including philosophy, statistical preliminaries, data and software, base forecasting methods, post-processing techniques, forecast verification tools, irradiance-to-power conversion sequences, and a hierarchical and firm forecasting framework. The authors are internationally recognized experts in the field and aim to steer future research in a direction that can expand the boundary of forecasting science.

Format: Hardback
Length: 659 pages
Publication date: 05 February 2024
Publisher: Taylor & Francis Ltd

Forecasting is a vital component in the integration of solar energy into the grid, serving as a crucial step towards achieving the ambitious goal of achieving planetary carbon neutrality. This highly specialized field of solar forecasting encompasses the prediction of both solar irradiance and photovoltaic power. Its reliance on atmospheric sciences and its implications for power system operations and planning make it evident that solar forecasting is a multidisciplinary endeavor. Over the past decade, significant advancements have been made in solar forecasting research and practice, marking a remarkable transformation in the field.

Solar Irradiance and Photovoltaic Power Forecasting offers a comprehensive overview of all key aspects of solar forecasting, including:

Philosophy: This section delves into the fundamental principles and motivations behind solar forecasting. It explores the theoretical foundations, assumptions, and challenges associated with predicting solar energy.

Statistical Preliminaries: This section provides the necessary statistical background and concepts for solar forecasting. It covers topics such as probability distributions, statistical models, and data analysis techniques.

Data and Software: This section discusses the availability and quality of solar irradiance and photovoltaic power data. It highlights the importance of accurate and timely data in forecasting and introduces various software tools and platforms used in solar forecasting.

Base Forecasting Methods: This section explores the various methods used in solar forecasting, including statistical models, physical models, and machine learning algorithms. It discusses the strengths and limitations of each method and provides guidance on selecting the most appropriate forecasting approach.

Post-Processing Techniques: This section discusses the post-processing steps involved in solar forecasting, such as data validation, quality control, and uncertainty analysis. It highlights the importance of accurate and reliable post-processing in generating reliable solar power forecasts.

Forecast Verification Tools: This section introduces various tools and techniques used for verifying the accuracy of solar power forecasts. It covers topics such as statistical outlier detection, cross-validation, and ensemble modeling.

Irradiance-to-Power Conversion Sequences: This section explores the conversion processes from solar irradiance to photovoltaic power. It discusses the different technologies used in solar panels, their efficiency, and the factors affecting the conversion efficiency.

Hierarchical and Firm Forecasting Framework: This section introduces the hierarchical and firm forecasting framework, which is a structured approach to solar forecasting. It discusses the advantages and disadvantages of this framework and provides guidance on implementing it effectively.

The book's scope and subject matter are designed to cater to individuals who are new to the field of solar forecasting or those who wish to stay updated on the latest developments in the field. It provides concrete and honest advice, methodological details, and algorithms, along with broader perspectives on solar forecasting.

Both authors of the book are internationally renowned experts in solar energy meteorology, with extensive accomplishments in both academia and industry. They have served as editors of top journals in solar energy meteorology for many years, contributing significantly to the advancement of the field. The authors' primary goal is not merely to deliver technical specifications through this book but also to steer future solar forecasting research in a direction that can truly expand the boundaries of prediction.

In conclusion, Solar Irradiance and Photovoltaic Power Forecasting is a comprehensive and authoritative guide to solar forecasting. It provides a thorough understanding of the theory, methods, and applications of solar forecasting, making it an invaluable resource for professionals, researchers, and policymakers involved in the field of solar energy. With its multidisciplinary approach and cutting-edge insights, the book is poised to shape the future of solar forecasting and contribute to the realization of a sustainable and carbon-neutral energy system.

Weight: 1419g
Dimension: 234 x 156 (mm)
ISBN-13: 9781032068121