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Peter Eltsov

The Long Telegram 2.0: A Neo-Kennanite Approach to Russia

The Long Telegram 2.0: A Neo-Kennanite Approach to Russia

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  • More about The Long Telegram 2.0: A Neo-Kennanite Approach to Russia

The Long Telegram 2.0: A Neo-Kennanite Approach to Russia offers an original argument for understanding Russia by exploring the tri-partite dictum "orthodoxy, autocracy, nationality" formulated by Count Sergey Uvarov in 1833. The author argues that Russia cannot become a democracy and will disintegrate, replicating the fate of the Soviet Union, due to weak mechanisms for the transition of power, poor institutions, a weak economy and education, a fragile ideology, and the lack of a unified national identity. The author recommends a strategy for dealing with Russia based on a combination of offensive realism and realpolitik.

Format: Paperback / softback
Length: 198 pages
Publication date: 15 March 2022
Publisher: Lexington Books


The Long Telegram 2.0: A Neo-Kennanite Approach to Russia is a comprehensive exploration of Russia's history, tracing its roots back to the tri-partite dictum "Orthodoxy, Autocracy, Nationality" formulated by Count Sergey Uvarov in 1833. The author delves into Uvarov's triad within the context of modern Russia, adding five additional traits: exceptionalism, expansionism, historical primordialism, military worship, and glorification of suffering. Asserting that Russia, as currently constituted, cannot become a democracy, the author predicts a imminent disintegration akin to the collapse of the Soviet Union. The primary factors contributing to this outcome, according to the author, include weak mechanisms for power transition, underdeveloped state institutions, a struggling economy and education system, a fragile ideology, and the absence of a unified national identity.

In response to this assessment, the author proposes a strategy for dealing with Russia, blending offensive realism and realpolitik. The book includes a translation of a unique historical document from the 1860s, a pamphlet advocating for the independence of Siberia, drawing inspiration from the American Revolution.

This thought-provoking work offers a fresh perspective on Russia, challenging conventional narratives and providing valuable insights into the country's complex history, politics, and future trajectory. It serves as a timely reminder of the importance of understanding Russia's unique challenges and the need for a nuanced and pragmatic approach to engagement.

Weight: 304g
Dimension: 230 x 154 x 15 (mm)
ISBN-13: 9781793602404

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