The Myth of Statistical Inference
The Myth of Statistical Inference
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The book challenges the idea that the forced union of aleatory and epistemic aspects of probability can be formalized, arguing that statistical inference is a myth and cannot achieve the goals it is imagined to. It is aimed at social scientists and offers an understanding of statistical inference that has not been available before, with implications far beyond statistics.
Format: Paperback / softback
Length: 448 pages
Publication date: 06 July 2022
Publisher: Springer Nature Switzerland AG
This book delves into the notion that the forced combination of the aleatory and epistemic aspects of probability represents a sterile hybrid, driven and sustained for 300 years by a futile quest to formalize inductive reasoning, thereby transforming uncertainty into a subject of precise calculation. However, as this objective remains unattainable, statistical inference fails to fulfill the expectations we hold for it today. Consequently, it can be aptly described as a myth. The primary audience of this book is social scientists, who frequently encounter challenges and frustrations related to statistics and statistical inference. By presenting a historical development that elucidates the guiding principles and aspirations behind the formulation of specific methods, this book offers a unique perspective on statistical inference that has hitherto been unavailable. Furthermore, it serves as a valuable supplement to standard statistics texts. Additionally, general readers will find this book to be an intriguing study with far-reaching implications beyond the realm of statistics. The evolution of statistical inference, culminating in its current prominence within the social sciences, exemplifies a series of trends in Western intellectual history spanning the last three centuries. In the 11th chapter, particularly, the book explores the role of statistical inference in light of our inherent desires for structure, rules, authority, and consensus in general, drawing provocative parallels between epistemology and politics.
Weight: 706g
Dimension: 235 x 155 (mm)
ISBN-13: 9783030732592
Edition number: 1st ed. 2021
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