The Security of Iceland and the Arctic 2030: A Recommendation for Increased Geopolitical Stability

The book proposes an Icelandic security force to protect against sub-strategic threats like human trafficking and border incursions. It outlines four hypothetical scenarios in 2030 and tests the force's success. The Arctic's melting ice pack and the opening of the Transpolar Sea Route could lead to increased traffic and potential security risks. Despite cultural concerns, recent surveys show that many Icelanders would support a security force to protect them from sub-strategic threats, funded by NATO contributions.

Format: Hardback
Length: 149 pages
Publication date: 17 March 2022
Publisher: Springer Nature Switzerland AG

This comprehensive book delves into the realm of national security, specifically focusing on the establishment of a recommended Icelandic security force as a vital component of the country's defense against sub-strategic threats. These threats encompass a wide range of scenarios, including human trafficking by criminal elements and border incursions by neighboring states. Recognizing the potential risks posed by these challenges, the book undertakes the task of testing the viability of the proposed security force through the development of four distinct hypothetical scenarios set in the year 2030. These scenarios are meticulously crafted to showcase the successful implementation of the recommended security force.

One significant aspect that the book explores is the potential impact of melting Arctic icepack and the subsequent opening of the Transpolar Sea Route around 2025. This development is predicted to usher in a significant increase in traffic into the North Atlantic, originating from the Pacific and vice versa. This influx is expected to bring about a massive surge in tourists, business interests, and government entities venturing into the region. While this movement presents opportunities for legitimate uses of the new shipping lanes, it also opens up avenues for terrorists, criminals, and rogue states to exploit the Arctic region. The potential for increased smuggling, violence, and sovereignty disputes arises, particularly as these actors seek to seize uninhabited terrain.

A review of Iceland's current security policies reveals that the legal framework for creating the recommended security force has already been established. In 2016, the Icelandic parliament passed the Parliamentary Resolution, which established a National Security Policy for Iceland. This resolution serves as the foundation for the proposed security force, which is envisioned to be comprised of Icelandic search-and-rescue volunteers and Reservists. Importantly, the funding for this security force is to be provided through Iceland's full NATO contribution.

Despite the initial reservations expressed by some scholars and government officials regarding the cultural acceptance of a security force in Iceland, recent surveys have revealed a growing sentiment among the Icelandic public that they would support such a measure to protect themselves from sub-strategic threats. This support is particularly strong when it is realized that the increased security could be achieved without the involvement of foreign military forces. The recommended security force seeks to leverage the expertise and dedication of Icelandic search-and-rescue volunteers and Reservists, who are already extensively trained and equipped to respond to various emergencies. By incorporating these individuals into a dedicated security force, the country can enhance its ability to respond to incidents promptly and effectively, ensuring the safety and security of its citizens.

In conclusion, this book offers a comprehensive and insightful examination of the issue of national security in Iceland. By proposing a recommended Icelandic security force as a response to sub-strategic threats, the book advocates for a proactive and comprehensive approach to safeguarding the country's interests. Through the development of hypothetical scenarios and a review of existing security policies, the book demonstrates the potential benefits and challenges associated with implementing such a force. The growing support among the Icelandic public for a security force underscores the importance of addressing these threats and ensuring the safety and well-being of the nation.

Weight: 430g
Dimension: 235 x 155 (mm)
ISBN-13: 9783030899479
Edition number: 1st ed. 2022