The Security of Iceland and the Arctic 2030: A Recommendation for Increased Geopolitical Stability

The book proposes an Icelandic security force to protect against sub-strategic threats, such as human trafficking and border incursions, and tests it through hypothetical scenarios in 2030. The force utilizes Icelandic search-and-rescue volunteers and Reservists, funded by NATO contributions. Recent surveys show that many Icelanders would accept the force, especially if it could be attained without foreign military intervention.

Format: Paperback / softback
Length: 149 pages
Publication date: 18 March 2023
Publisher: Springer Nature Switzerland AG

This comprehensive book delves into the realm of national security, specifically focusing on the establishment of a recommended Icelandic security force as a vital component of the country's defense against sub-strategic threats. These threats encompass a wide range of scenarios, including human trafficking by criminal organizations and border incursions by other states. Recognizing the potential risks posed by these challenges, the book proposes a well-structured security force to mitigate these dangers effectively.

To assess the viability of the recommended security force, the author presents four distinct hypothetical scenarios set in the year 2030. These scenarios serve as a means to demonstrate the force's successful implementation and its ability to safeguard Iceland against emerging threats.

One of the key factors driving the increased interest in the Arctic region is the melting of the Arctic ice pack, which is projected to open the Transpolar Sea Route around 2025. This development is expected to result in a significant increase in traffic into the North Atlantic from the Pacific (and vice versa). This surge in maritime activity is predicted to bring about a massive influx of tourists, business interests, and government entities to the region.

While the opportunities presented by the new shipping lanes are numerous, they also come with a range of risks. The possibility of terrorists, criminals, and rogue states utilizing the Arctic for travel and operations poses a significant threat to regional security. This could lead to increased smuggling, violence, and sovereignty disputes, particularly as these states seek to seize uninhabited terrain.

A review of Iceland's current security policies reveals that the legal framework exists to establish the recommended security force. In 2016, the Icelandic parliament passed the Parliamentary Resolution, which established a National Security Policy for Iceland. This policy provides the foundation for the proposed security force, emphasizing the importance of utilizing Icelandic search-and-rescue volunteers and Reservists to enhance national protection.

Despite the potential benefits of a security force, there are concerns among scholars and government officials regarding public support for such an initiative. Some argue that the Icelandic public may not be receptive to the idea of a security force, considering the country's history of self-sufficiency and independence. However, recent surveys have shown that many Icelanders are open to the concept of a security force, particularly if it can be achieved without the involvement of foreign military forces.

The recommended security force is funded by Iceland's full NATO contribution, ensuring that it receives the necessary resources and support to carry out its duties effectively. This collaboration with NATO provides a valuable framework for cooperation and information sharing, enhancing the country's ability to respond to security threats promptly and efficiently.

In conclusion, this book offers a comprehensive analysis of the need for a recommended Icelandic security force in the face of sub-strategic threats. By presenting hypothetical scenarios and examining the legal framework, the author demonstrates the potential benefits and challenges of establishing such a force. The melting of the Arctic ice pack and the opening of the Transpolar Sea Route have underscored the importance of proactive measures to secure the region. With the support of NATO and the willingness of the Icelandic public, a well-structured security force can play a vital role in protecting the country and promoting regional stability.

Weight: 273g
Dimension: 235 x 155 (mm)
ISBN-13: 9783030899509
Edition number: 1st ed. 2022