Europe's High-End Military Challenges: The Future of European Capabilities and Missions

This CSIS report examines the evolution of European military capabilities over the next decade, focusing on what capabilities European allies and partners of the United States may possess by 2030 and the types of military missions they will be able to perform. It finds that while European militaries will continue to struggle to conduct certain missions without significant U.S. assistance, they will have the capability to conduct most types of missions at the lower end of the conflict continuum without significant U.S. military aid. NATO will need to revise its burden-sharing metrics, modernize defense planning and procurement practices, and address lagging political will to sustain progress and overcome remaining challenges.

Format: Paperback / softback
Length: 72 pages
Publication date: 02 April 2022
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield

This comprehensive CSIS report delves into the evolving military capabilities of Europe over the next decade. It raises two crucial questions: What military capabilities will European allies and partners of the United States possess by 2030? And what types of military missions will these states be able (and unable) to effectively perform by 2030?

Firstly, European militaries, including the largest and most capable European NATO members, will continue to face significant challenges in conducting various missions without substantial U.S. assistance. This is particularly evident in areas such as counterterrorism operations, complex peacekeeping missions, and high-intensity warfare.

Secondly, European militaries will encounter significant difficulties in the Indo-Pacific region. The rise of China and other regional powers poses a growing threat to European interests, requiring a robust and adaptable military presence to ensure stability and security.

Thirdly, while European major powers will likely possess the capability to conduct most types of missions at the lower end of the conflict continuum without significant U.S. military aid, they may face limitations in conducting more complex and high-intensity operations. This is due to a range of factors, including resource constraints, technological gaps, and political will.

To sustain progress and overcome the remaining challenges, NATO will need to revise its burden-sharing metrics, modernize defense planning and procurement practices, and address lagging political will. This will require a collective effort from all NATO members to ensure that Europe remains a strong and capable partner in global security.

In conclusion, this CSIS report provides valuable insights into the evolving military capabilities of Europe over the next decade. It highlights the need for continued investment, collaboration, and adaptability to ensure that Europe can meet the security challenges of the 21st century.

Weight: 200g
Dimension: 279 x 218 x 5 (mm)
ISBN-13: 9781538140437