Methods of Strategic Trade Analysis: Data-Driven Approaches to Detect Illicit Dual-Use Trade

Governments, international organizations, and other stakeholders can utilize data to uncover illicit trade in materials and equipment that could be used to support chemical, biological, nuclear, and advanced conventional weapons systems. This book introduces key concepts of strategic trade, such as strategic goods and their potential uses in WMDs and weapons systems, the interplay between the Harmonized System and strategic trade control regimes, and the data available for analysis. It also provides innovative methodologies to analyze strategic trade, such as crime scripts, risk assessment indicators, mirror statistics, market share analysis, and transshipment and re-export analysis.

Format: Hardback
Length: 183 pages
Publication date: 05 December 2022
Publisher: Springer International Publishing AG

This comprehensive book delves into innovative strategies and methodologies for uncovering illicit trade in materials and equipment that can be utilized to support chemical, biological, nuclear, and advanced conventional weapons systems. It addresses the crucial role of governments, international organizations, and other stakeholders in utilizing data to combat this threat effectively. The book introduces key concepts of strategic trade, including examples of strategic goods and their potential uses in weapons of mass destruction (WMDs) and weapons systems. It explores the interplay between the Harmonized System and strategic trade control regimes, as well as the data available for analysis in this field.

Innovative and practical methodologies are presented to analyze strategic trade, encompassing the use of crime scripts, risk assessment indicators, mirror statistics, market share analysis, and transshipment and re-export analysis. Chapters also delve into cutting-edge techniques such as machine learning and network analysis, which have demonstrated promising results in other areas of crime and illicit trade investigations. Each chapter offers step-by-step instructions, numerous case studies, and discussions of the strengths and weaknesses of each approach, making it an invaluable resource for all types of analysts seeking to understand, detect, and disrupt illicit procurement of materials and equipment for WMD production.

The book is designed to provide practical pathways for analysts to enhance their knowledge and skills in identifying and combating illicit trade in materials and equipment. It serves as a valuable tool for policymakers, law enforcement agencies, intelligence communities, and researchers interested in strengthening global security and countering the threat of weapons proliferation. By leveraging data and advanced analytical techniques, this book contributes to the efforts of international organizations and governments in promoting peace, security, and stability in the world.

Weight: 477g
Dimension: 235 x 155 (mm)
ISBN-13: 9783031200359
Edition number: 1st ed. 2023