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The 2007 Iran Nuclear Estimate Revisited: Anatomy of a Controversy

The 2007 Iran Nuclear Estimate Revisited: Anatomy of a Controversy

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  • More about The 2007 Iran Nuclear Estimate Revisited: Anatomy of a Controversy

The 2007 Iran Nuclear Estimate Revisited: Anatomy of a Controversy explores the contents and reaction to the U.S. intelligence community's (IC) National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) that Iran had suspended its clandestine program to develop nuclear weapons. The volume offers insights into the art of intelligence analysis and the issues encountered when estimates run counter to policy or partisan preferences.

Format: Paperback / softback
Length: 184 pages
Publication date: 29 January 2024
Publisher: Taylor & Francis Ltd


The 2007 Iran Nuclear Estimate Revisited: Anatomy of a Controversy delves into the contents and reactions to the U.S. intelligence community's (IC) National Intelligence Estimate (NIE) that Iran had suspended its clandestine program to develop nuclear weapons. This comprehensive volume offers valuable insights into the art of intelligence analysis and the challenges encountered when estimates deviate from policy or partisan preferences.

In November 2007, the U.S. National Intelligence Council released the NIE titled "Iran's Nuclear Intentions and Capabilities," which contained a surprising revelation. Analysts concluded that Iran had likely suspended its clandestine effort to develop a nuclear weapon. Despite the meticulous efforts of analysts to assess the accuracy of their sources and provide nuanced judgments about Iran's complex civilian and military nuclear programs, this assessment sparked a political firestorm.

In this edited volume, former intelligence professionals and esteemed intelligence scholars examine and evaluate the factors that shaped this NIE and the subsequent international controversy. These chapters make a significant contribution to our understanding of the state-of-the-art in intelligence analysis and the complexities that arise when intelligence estimates address critical foreign and defense policy issues and ongoing political debates.

One of the chapters in this volume was originally published in the book titled "Routledge Companion to Intelligence Studies," edited by Robert Dover, Michael Goodman, and Claudia Hillebrand. Other chapters were originally published in the journals "Intelligence and National Security" and "Comparative Strategy."

Weight: 453g
Dimension: 246 x 174 (mm)
ISBN-13: 9781032169651

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