Theorising Future Conflict: War Out to 2049

The book explores the changing tactics, technologies, and terrains of twenty-first-century war, arguing that the world in 2049 will be shaped by three broad tendencies: the impure, the granular, and the machinic. It examines how these tendencies might evolve in the different geopolitical futures and types of war ahead of us, providing a thought-provoking and distinctive framework through which to think about the changing character of war.

Format: Hardback
Length: 242 pages
Publication date: 15 December 2023
Publisher: Taylor & Francis Ltd

This comprehensive exploration delves into the evolving strategies, technologies, and landscapes of warfare in the twenty-first century. It presents a compelling argument that the world in 2049 will differ significantly from the dystopian vision depicted in Blade Runner 2049, where climate change and artificial intelligence (AI) have led to a catastrophic future. Instead, the book suggests that while conflict and war may not be completely eradicated, they will undergo a transformative process driven by a "civilizing process" that aims to minimize violence and conflict within human society.

In addition, 2049 marks a significant milestone as the US Department of Defense predicts that China will emerge as a dominant military power on a global scale. This prediction signals the onset of an era of intense arms races among nations, as they seek to harness cutting-edge technologies such as drones, robotics, AI, and quantum computing to gain an advantage in the ever-evolving battlefield. These advancements will profoundly impact politics, economy, society, and warfare, reshaping the very nature of conflict.

Drawing upon the insights of thinkers like Zygmunt Bauman and Paul Virilio, the book explores three broad tendencies that will shape the future of war. These tendencies include a diverse range of tactics, technologies, and trends, encompassing the impure, granular, and machinic aspects. Through discussions of cybersecurity, urban warfare, robotics, AI, climate change, science fiction, and new strategic concepts, the book examines how these tendencies may evolve in different geopolitical futures and types of war.

The book offers a thought-provoking and distinctive framework through which to analyze the changing character of war. It emphasizes the importance of understanding the complex interplay between technology, politics, and human behavior in shaping the outcomes of conflicts. By examining the potential implications of these trends, the book provides valuable insights into the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead for students of critical war studies, security studies, science and technology studies, and International Relations.

In conclusion, this book is a must-read for anyone interested in understanding the evolving dynamics of warfare in the twenty-first century. It offers a comprehensive and insightful analysis of the changing tactics, technologies, and terrains of war, providing a valuable perspective on the future of conflict and peace.

Weight: 625g
Dimension: 234 x 156 (mm)
ISBN-13: 9781032113661